Romney wins Michigan
January 16th, 2008
By Gerardo Orlando
The GOP race is still wide open. So much for McCain running away with it.
Money quote from Andrew Sullivan:
If Romney retools his campaign and presents himself as a moderate businessman able to bring better management to Washington, he finally has a message that could work. Of course, it’s just the latest poll-tested cynical ploy. But it’s working for Clinton! And she and Romney have one thing in common: two focus-grouped cynical dynastic holograms.
I need a drink.
Guiliani must be happy tonight, but I still think he’s toast. He’s pitching his tax cuts hard, as his “scare the shit out of everyone strategy of constantly mentioning 9/11″ hasn’t worked. I’ll be surprised if he makes a comeback, but nothing should surprise us on the GOP side.
If it comes down to Romney, Huckabee and McCain, I think Romney has a real chance. That’s good news for Democrats, as Romney will get crushed in the general. McCain and Giuliani are the only GOP candidates that have a chance in the general.
The happiest guy tonight should be Michael Bloomberg. Hillary is still the favorite, and McCain took a real hit tonight. If Hillary and anyone other than McCain are the nominees, Bloomberg has a real chance to win if he enters the race.
January 16th, 2008 11:44
i don’t see the Michigan win as a big boost to Romney. Yes, he would have been finished if he had not won, but he did after all have a sort of home field advantage there with his father having governed the state years ago. Polical contacts don’t just melt away, even 40 years later. At best, I think Michigan helps stall the perception that Romney is done, but in the end, he’s done.
McCain will do well in South Carolina and Huckabee will continue to pull votes away from Romney until McCain locks it up.
I don’t think by the way that McCain will select Huckabee as his running mate. That’s a bit too “Dan Quayle” for the senior senator from Arizona but I think that would be an exciting choice that would be tough to beat!
January 16th, 2008 13:02
No way McCain picks Huckabee - I agree.
I think this is a big deal because now McCain needs to do well in South Carolina, and he has not shown yet he can get many conservative Republicans to vote for him.