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McCain team worried about Bayh

Wednesday, July 16th, 2008

The McCain team has sent out info reminding the press that Evan Bayh was an honorary co-chair of the neocon pro-war Committee for the Liberation of Iraq. He co-chaired the group along with John McCain and Joe Lieberman.

Bayh’s Iraq vote was always going to be a negative, but this takes things a step further. The important thing is that he subsequently removed himself from the group and he now says he would not have supported the Iraq War knowing what he knows now.

I don’t think this kills his chances. He brings so much to the table from an experience and electoral point of view. Also, they can emphasize that many supporters of the war have acknowledged they made a mistake, while McCain still thinks it was the right thing to do.

It’s interesting that the McCain team put out this information now. They must be terrified by the prospect of an Obama/Bayh ticket. If Bayh helps Obama win Indiana, it’s hard to see how McCain has a chance.

Obama’s plan for Iraq

Monday, July 14th, 2008

This is a very logical and practical approach.

Hagel will join Obama on Iraq trip

Friday, July 11th, 2008

This is a great move, and as Jacob Heilbrunn explains, it’s a blow to McCain. Hagel is a veteran as well and aa Republican Senator who opposes the Bush administration policy in Iraq.

I’m curious to see who else joins Obama as it might signal potential VP picks. Biden seems like an obvious choice for the trip regardless of whether Obama is seriously considering him for the trip, but if Evan Bayh joins them, it increases the odds that he’s the pick.

Keep an eye on Evan Bayh

Sunday, July 6th, 2008

Evan Byah would be an excellent choice for Obama’s running mate.

The fact that the Obama campaign is willing to target Indiana tells me that Bayh might be the choice. The 11 electoral votes from Indiana would tip the election to Obama, if he won all the Kerry states and Iowa (where he has a solid lead). He wouldn’t even need Ohio or Florida. Having Bayh on the ticket could deliver the state. His midwestern roots would also help Obama in battleground states like Ohio and Wisconsin.

More importantly, Bayh bolsters the ticket in general terms. First, he’s clearly capable of being President on day one. He’s a former governor and a Senator. He also has significant foreign policy credentials, with his seats on the Armed Services and Intelligence committees. He’s a moderate with excellent credentials on taxes and economic policy. Finally, he looks like a President. He’s soft-spoken and boring at times, but he projects an image of quiet competence, which is a good balance to Obama’s electric campaign. He would help quiet the fears of those who worry Obama lacks experience. He’s not an old hand like Sam Nunn, but he’s still a heavyweight.

Obama needs a VP that reassures voters and doesn’t make mistakes. Bayh is a pro, and he did a good job as a surrogate for Hillary Clinton in the primaries.

Bayh’s credentials, along with the help he provides with the electoral map, make him the best choice in my opinion.

Mark Warner takes himself out of VP consideration

Sunday, June 15th, 2008

In accepting the Democratic nomination for the open Senate seat in Virginia, Mark Warner made it clear that he will not be in the running for Obama’s VP.

That’s unfortunate, as he would have been a great selection.

Obama’s middle-class tax cuts

Friday, June 13th, 2008

These tax cuts look like a political winner.

Hillary’s speech

Monday, June 9th, 2008

Hillary Clinton was at her best on Saturday in her endorsement of Obama. She had a job to do, and she did it well. In time, many of her supporters will back Obama as they begin to realize that McCain doesn’t share their beliefs.

That said, the Obama team should not, and probably will not, be fooled into putting her on the ticket. She will always have her own agenda, and the minute he offers her the second spot he will no longer have any leverage to control her or her husband.

The only scenario for putting her on the ticket would be some kind of political disaster over the summer that threatens his ability to win this on his own. Barring that, he has many good options for VP, so Clinton supporters should not hold their breath.

Obama’s impact - the DNC will no longer accept money from federal lobbyists

Thursday, June 5th, 2008

This is reform in action. Here’s the statement from the Democratic National Committee.

“The DNC and the Obama Campaign are unified and working together to elect Barack Obama as the next president of the United States. Our presumptive nominee has pledged not to take donations from Washington lobbyists and from today going forward the DNC makes that pledge as well,” said Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean. “Senator Obama has promised to change the way things are done in Washington and this step is a sure sign of his commitment. The American people’s priorities will set the agenda in an Obama Administration, not the special interests.”

Jon Stewart on Hillary’s graceless exit

Thursday, June 5th, 2008

Watch the whole clip. It’s hilarious when he shows the pundits who proclaimed that Hillary was the inevitable nominee. So much for sexism.

Bob Barr will help Obama

Thursday, June 5th, 2008

Bob Barr’s Libertarian campaign for president is already having an impact.

Bob Barr’s Libertarian presidential campaign is poised to play a serious role in this year’s elections, with early polls showing him taking away enough votes from Sen. John McCain to give Democrats a chance to win states that should be safely Republican.

Polls in Georgia and North Carolina over the last two weeks show Mr. Barr winning 8 percent and 6 percent respectively of the presidential vote, and in both cases helping keep likely Democratic presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama within striking distance of Mr. McCain in those states — which, taken together, account for more electoral votes than Florida, Pennsylvania or Ohio.

Kicking and screaming

Wednesday, June 4th, 2008

What a graceless exit. The networks are reporting the Hillary will suspend her campaign and endorse Obama on Friday.

This happened only after some of her strongest supporters implored her to concede. Charlie Rangel was upset and told her so. Her own advisors had to get eight Senators on the phone with her to tell her it was over.

It also appears that she will not be seriously considered for the VP slot, as the Obama team will require that Bill Clinton reveal all the donors to his library and his foundation as part of the vetting process. That is not going to happen, so the drama will soon come to an end.

After her shameful performance last night, she needs to muster a great speech on Friday when she endorses Obama in order to salvage her reputation.

You don’t demand respect, you earn it

Wednesday, June 4th, 2008

The Clinton drama continues. Now everyone is speculating on what Hillary Clinton wants.

Those around her say that beyond the mundane negotiating points – a half hour in Denver, help raising money – there is a more personal, less tangible demand that she be accorded the respect she feels she earned in an historic bid that brought her closer to the nomination than any other second-place Democratic finisher.

This is so ridiculous. You don’t demand respect, you earn it. With her inability to be gracious in defeat last night, she has lost the respect of many Democrats, including some of her strongest supporters.

Clinton supporters start to defect

Wednesday, June 4th, 2008

Hillary Clinton’s selfish speech last night is not going over well with some of her strongest supporters. Hilary Rosen hoped that Hillary Clinton would make a graceful exit last night, but she was disappointed, and she refuses to be a bargaining chip.

So, I am also so very disappointed at how she has handled this last week. I know she is exhausted and she had pledged to finish the primaries and let every state vote before any final action. But by the time she got on that podium last night, she knew it was over and that she had lost. I am sure I was not alone in privately urging the campaign over the last two weeks to use the moment to take her due, pass the torch and cement her grace. She had an opportunity to soar and unite. She had a chance to surprise her party and the nation after the day-long denials about expecting any concession and send Obama off on the campaign trail of the general election with the best possible platform. I wrote before how she had a chance for her “Al Gore moment.” And if she had done so, the whole country ALL would be talking today about how great she is and give her her due.

Instead she left her supporters empty, Obama’s angry and party leaders trashing her. She said she was stepping back to think about her options. She is waiting to figure out how she would “use” her 18 million voters.

But not my vote. I will enthusiastically support Barack Obama’s campaign. Because I am not a bargaining chip. I am a Democrat.

The Great Divider

Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

I have to admit I was completely wrong about Hillary Clinton. I actually believed that when the time was right, she would do the right thing and try to unite the party to defeat John McCain in November. How could I be so foolish.

Her speech tonight was a disgrace. On this historic night, when the Democratic Party nominated the first African-American candidate in history, Hillary Clinton insisted that this was her night, not Obama’s night. She wouldn’t concede. She refused to rally her supporters around Barack Obama now that he has won the nomination.

Hillary Clinton doesn’t have a classy bone in her body. History will judge her harshly for this. Sure, at some point she will properly back Obama, but nobody should forget that she tried to make this historic night all about her.

I hope Obama doesn’t pick her as his running mate. It’s time to put the drama of the Clintons to an end.

State of the race

Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

It’s very early, and polls don’t matter much until both conventions are completed, but Kos offers an interesting analysis of the state of the electoral college based on polling averages from Pollster.com. So far, Obama looks pretty good. As I stated previously, I expect Obama to start taking a lead once Hillary endorses him and the party starts to come together.

Fighting shape

Saturday, May 31st, 2008

Many in the media have been critical of Barack Obama, suggesting that he wasn’t tough enough to battle the GOP in the fall. They cited his unwillingness to attack Hillary Clinton as an example.

Obama, however, did not want to alienate Hillary’s supporters. He got tough at times, but he often held back, knowing he would need her supporters in the fall.

With McCain, Obama is not holding back. He’s still running a generally positive campaign, but he’s showing he’s more than willing to go toe-to-toe with McCain on foreign policy and other isuues.

The latest scuffles involves McCain’s mistatement shere he claimed that our troops in Iraq were down to pre-surge levels. That was incorrect. Troop levels are 20,000 above pre-surge levels. McCain, however, would not acknowledge that he mispoke.

McCain has been hammering Obama for not visiting Iraq, so Obama took this opportunity to go after McCain.

We all misspeak sometimes. I’ve done it myself. So on such a basic, factual error, you’d think that Senator McCain would just admit that he made a mistake and move on. But he couldn’t do that. Instead, he dug in. And the disturbing thing is that we’ve seen this movie before — a leader who pursues the wrong course, who is unwilling to change course, who ignores the evidence. Now, just like George Bush, John McCain refused to admit that he made a mistake. And that’s exactly the kind of leadership that we’ve had through more than five years of fighting a war that should’ve never been authorized, and should’ve never been waged.

We don’t need more leaders who can’t admit they’ve made a mistake, even when it’s about something as fundamental as how many young Americans are serving in harm’s way.

This is great stuff. McCain was gaining traction with the issue of Obama’s visits to Iraq, but then he makes a fundamental mistatement about troop levels and is unwilling to correct himself. And then Obama hammers him. Get ready for more of the same.

Sam Nunn for VP?

Thursday, May 29th, 2008

He might be Obama’s best choice.

State polls are starting to move in Obama’s direction

Friday, May 23rd, 2008

With the latest poll in Ohio showing an Obama lead over McCain, Kos takes a look at how the electoral map is shaping up for November. So far, things look good for Obama.

Clinton won’t go away

Tuesday, May 20th, 2008

This is all playing out as expected, but it doesn’t make Hillary Clinton any less annoying. Her speeches are a little more gracious than before, but her shameless claims that she is winning the popular vote, a calculation one gets to only by counting Michigan and giving Obama ZERO votes for Michigan, is just pathetic.

The press is hyperventilating, trying to explain how the party is trying not to offend her by proclaiming that the race is over. At some point the issue becomes how much she is willing to offend the rest of the party.

There’s no reason to be concerned. She’s finished. But I still wish she would just go away.

Edwards endorses Obama

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

The fall campaign is underway. Getting Edwards to endorse has less to do with wrapping up the nomination and more to do with uniting the party for the general election.

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