Like most people, I was shocked when Donald Trump managed to defeated Hillary Clinton for the presidency, despite losing the popular vote by a substantial margin. Democrats and liberals are still in the anger phase, as many are pointing fingers trying to make sense of this debacle.
But now we face the prospect of Trump running the country. While Wall Street is giddy for the moment as they fantasize about Trump implementing the Ryan agenda with tax cuts and deregulation, many realize that Trump’s erratic management style and willingness to flip positions on a whim will likely create tremendous uncertainty.
If we’re honest with ourselves, we have to acknowledge that predicting what Trump will do with respect to any particular issue or crisis will be extremely difficult. My take on the prospects for the Trump presidency is pretty simple – expect chaos.
Trump has few if any real convictions – he burps out policy positions without serious preparation or regard for what he’s said in the past. He’s much more interested in loyalty and who is being “nice” to him versus strategic thinking. He loves to play upon resentment and fear, and his driving motivations seem to be his ego, brand and business interests.
Frankly, we don’t have a strategic thinker who puts the interests of the country over his own. We have the opposite. It’s easy to imagine countless scenarios where Trump’s erratic behavior coupled with his consistent lack of preparation will exacerbate the challenge or crisis at hand.
Missouri offers an interesting opportunity for Democrats to pick up another Senate seat. Incumbent Republican Roy Blunt was a clear favorite, but you can see from this ad that Jason Kandor is a formidable candidate.
Blunt has been attacking Kandor on the gun issue, so Kander, a former Army Captain who volunteered to serve in Afghanistan, went right after Blunt on this issue.
This is the kind of things more candidates need to do. Appeal directly to voters in their ads, and take on issues raised in the campaign. Having a clever angle like assembling a gun while blindfolded also helps!
Donald Trump is an easy target, but in her latest speech, Hillary Clinton explains the threat of Donald Trump to the country in devastating fashion. The speech was perfectly written, and she delivered it beautifully.
This speech may result in a turning point in this campaign, as it comes at a time when Trump seems to be even more unhinged with his attacks on a judge for his Mexican heritage and the press focusing on his Trump University fraud.
Also, the press finally seems willing to take on Trump, and this speech gives the press great soundbites to highlight Trump’s buffoonery.
Everyone knew this debate could be pretty entertaining with reality TV star Donald Trump in the field, and The Donald didn’t disappoint. There’s no point in rehashing all of his comments. Needless to say this clown show isn’t good for the Republican Party.
Putting the Trump show aside, here are some initial observations:
– I was impressed with the questions from the Fox panel of moderators, and frankly I didn’t expect that. Sure, some of the questions were bizarre, and the Facebook participation didn’t help, but the moderators asked very tough questions, which is what you’re supposed to do. GOP partisans will likely complain, which means Fox actually approached this correctly. Fox also found ways to get real discussions going between candidates who disagreed on some issues.
– Marco Rubio showed off his political talents and should get some favorable coverage, but he also came out against rape and incest exceptions to abortion, which will be a huge problem for him if he ever makes it to the general election. For that reason it was a bad night for him.
– Scott Walker was less impressive, which surprised me. His answers will probably please GOP primary voters, as Walker know how to tick off talking points. But he comes across as a smarmy politician as opposed to the next leader of the free world. I thought he’d be the biggest threat to Democrats, but now I’m less concerned. Also, he went one step further than Rubio by saying he also didn’t agree to an abortion exception for the life of the mother. Seriously!! This could be fatal to his general election campaign.
– John Kasich impressed me. He has a reputation here in Ohio for having a temper and sometimes being a bully, but he focused on optimism, growth and inclusion in his answers. He’s going with a positive message and does a good job of weaving his credentials and accomplishments into his answers. He should start getting more attention after this debate. Still, once people take a hard look at his record in Ohio, they may conclude his economic achievements in Ohio have more to do with President Obama’s policies like the auto bailout.
– Jeb Bush didn’t impress me at all. Is he out of practice? He’ll never have a good answer for the Iraq War.