Obama needs to win tonight. I’m not sure what to make of his campaign’s decision to campaign in Texas today. Hopefully their internal polls are showing a comfortable win. With two weeks to go, another day in Wisconsin to get every last vote would have been my preference, though I understand early voting starts in Texas today.

Obama has closed the gap in Texas and now the polls are tightening in Ohio. A win in Wisconsin keeps the momentum going, but a loss would he a huge story.

Apart from New Hampshire, Obama has been outperforming the polls through most of the campaign, particularly through the recent winning streak. Hopefully this trend continues tonight.