About 25% of the voting is early voting, and polls suggest these voters went big for Obama.
As everyone knows, North Carolina is critical. Obama is supposed to win there, and Hillary’s only real chance is to beat Obama in a state where he is expected to win. She needs to change the dynamic of the race. Obama, on the other hands, wins with a split between Indiana and North Carolina.
If Obama takes care of business in North Carolina, expect to see a significant number of superdelegates annoucing their support for Obama.
I think Hillary miscalculated with the gas tax holiday. Sure, many voters will like this, but I suspect many independents will not. Also, she alienated many members of Congress who oppose this issue and were not happy when she threatened to bring this to a vote. Her “with us or against” us rhetoric rubbed some officials the wrong way. I suspect that if Obama wins North Carolina, Hillary’s pandering on the gas tax will give superdelegates another reason to come out against her.
