It’s difficult to predict what will happen tomorrow. Over the past 10 contests, Obama has outperformed the polls with his superior ground game and the enthusiasm of his supporters. Hopefully that will continue tomorrow and he can put this away, but his ground game advantage might not be as significant tomorrow as the Clinton campaign has bet everything on these two states.
Obama’s rise in the polls seems to have stalled a little, and some polls have Hillary increasing her lead in Ohio. Some are blaming the national security ads from Clinton, but I suspect that the photo from last week of Obama in traditional African clothes might be having a larger impact.
Texas is critical. Obama needs to win the delegate race AND the popular vote to prevent any claims of victory by the Clinton campaign. If he can win in Texas and keep it close in Ohio, the super delegates will start to break for Obama and many will call for her to get out of the race. It’s also possible that party heavyweights like Gore, Pelosi, Richardson and Edwards will come out for Obama.
Should be interesting.