Tag: President 2008 (Page 13 of 31)

Bad news for Obama, though he can still win the delegate race in Texas depending on how the votes shake out.

The race goes on. Obama will still have a significant lead in pedged delegates, and there’s little chance she can catch him. He can get back on track with wins in Wyoming and Mississippi.

That said, she has the momentum, and he needs to figure out how to handle things going forward. Should he attack, or should he continue to run a dignified campaigna and run out the clock?

Much will depend on the super delegates. Are they angered by Clinton’s negative attacks? Will that prompt them to come out for Obama now? NBC reported that the Obama campaign had 50 super delegates ready to come out for him starting tomorrow. Will they hold back given today’s results?

We’ll see. I’d like to see them turn up the pressure a bit by hitting her on her failure to release her tax returns and her record in the Clinton White House.

Big win for Hillary. Let’s see what happens in Texas. Obama might win the delegates, but the popular vote is also important.

This fact alone explains why Obama would be the best candidate for the Democrats in the fall. He is within striking distance of McCain in Kansas, a state that has been solid GOP territory for years but has started to grow tired of the far right. Of course, McCain has a huge lead over Hillary.

Clinton supporters brag of her wins against Obama in big states lke New York (her own state) and California, but either Democrat would win those states. The key is winning the swing states and being competitive in some red states. Obama can do that.

On the other hand, Hillary will unite a Republican Party that is hopelessly divided. McCain can’t do it, but she can. Nominating her would be a disaster.

It’s difficult to predict what will happen tomorrow. Over the past 10 contests, Obama has outperformed the polls with his superior ground game and the enthusiasm of his supporters. Hopefully that will continue tomorrow and he can put this away, but his ground game advantage might not be as significant tomorrow as the Clinton campaign has bet everything on these two states.

Obama’s rise in the polls seems to have stalled a little, and some polls have Hillary increasing her lead in Ohio. Some are blaming the national security ads from Clinton, but I suspect that the photo from last week of Obama in traditional African clothes might be having a larger impact.

Texas is critical. Obama needs to win the delegate race AND the popular vote to prevent any claims of victory by the Clinton campaign. If he can win in Texas and keep it close in Ohio, the super delegates will start to break for Obama and many will call for her to get out of the race. It’s also possible that party heavyweights like Gore, Pelosi, Richardson and Edwards will come out for Obama.

Should be interesting.